Discussions about Quests

[Sqrl]

There is nothing in the patterns anyone describes to indicate that the algorithm is not random. What we are looking at here are independent events. That is, that the algorithm has no knowledge of the previous choices it has made, and so those cannot influence its new choice. It cannot exclude a facility it has chosen previously. It cannot choose to pick a coins facility if it previously picked an FC facility because it has no memory of what it has picked previously.

Y'all need to study probability a bit more.

[ed's farm123]

Originally Posted by Sqrl

There is nothing in the patterns anyone describes to indicate that the algorithm is not random. What we are looking at here are independent events. That is, that the algorithm has no knowledge of the previous choices it has made, and so those cannot influence its new choice. It cannot exclude a facility it has chosen previously. It cannot choose to pick a coins facility if it previously picked an FC facility because it has no memory of what it has picked previously.

Y'all need to study probability a bit more.

I think you're right. it seems as if the balance of fc vs coins facilitys are approx 50-50 that it would be hard for it to select fc facilities 6 days in a row, but I guess that can happen. but the likliehood of anyone having one out of 3 or 4 fc facilities would be very small, I would guess. Most facilities selected are coins,no doubt or you could never do 8 in 7 days.

[ccheney]

Originally Posted by Sqrl

There is nothing in the patterns anyone describes to indicate that the algorithm is not random. What we are looking at here are independent events. That is, that the algorithm has no knowledge of the previous choices it has made, and so those cannot influence its new choice. It cannot exclude a facility it has chosen previously. It cannot choose to pick a coins facility if it previously picked an FC facility because it has no memory of what it has picked previously.

Y'all need to study probability a bit more.

Then why do I always get quests that require newly released FC facilities a day or two after that facility becomes available?

[Dulcinea]

Originally Posted by ccheney

Then why do I always get quests that require newly released FC facilities a day or two after that facility becomes available?

That only happens to me in the NCC. It does seem whatever algorithm used there pushes the newest facilities to the front, perhaps as an incentive to buy them. That's why I save my goodies up instead of working new service facilities right away. Inevitably, those facilities show up in the NCC within a few weeks, and I want to have lots to stock them.

But my regular and co-op quests are random. I do get new facilities and facilities I don't have, yes, but no more often than I get other facilities. I can go months getting facilities I have, and then boom-boom-boom, three or four facilities in a row I don't own. I've even gotten two of the exact same quest. Now that's random.