Belt System Updates -- June 2nd, 2011

[Oopsy-Bumpty]

I am enjoying this conversation. So correct me if I am wrong, as I have never given any thought before regarding the difference between average and chance.

So if you are a very unlucky person left to chance you might never get anything...although as you said Tony, improbable. In other words it is totally out of our control. Whereas average although still bit of a lottery is something you can to a degree make an educated guess as to when and what you will receive based on history.

Am I getting there?

[max_river]

i will take anything i get free is free and i like that

[Oopsy-Bumpty]

Originally Posted by max_river

i will take anything i get free is free and i like that

Oh yes me too

[JAS0643]

Originally Posted by Tony D

Average and chance are not the same thing mate

I never said average and chance was the same thing what I said was that if you take a quarter and flip it enough times you will find the average chance of it landing on heads is 50%. Flipping a coin 2 times is not enough tries to get the chance of it landing on heads because both times it may land on heads or both times it may land on tails leading you to believe that the chance of that happening is either 100% or 0% which is not the case. If you flip the coin enough times it will land on heads 50% of the time. It will work the same with harvesting the crops every time you harvest you have a x% chance of getting an extra box and if you do the math it may not be exactly x% each time but if you keep track of it it will be close to that and will average out to be x% over time. Also the more fields you harvest the more you will see that the extra crops you will get will be close to the x% you should get for that belt. The developers have not set this up to where you will never get an extra box if you are an unlucky person. I think the confusion is in their choice of the word chance from what I have seen with my own harvest you are not really chancing anything you are getting the x% it says you will get. This comes from a person that couldn't win a raffle if there was 100 tickets in the pot and 99 of them had my name on them I wouldn't win.

[Tony D]

Originally Posted by JAS0643

I never said average and chance was the same thing what I said was that if you take a quarter and flip it enough times you will find the average chance of it landing on heads is 50%. Flipping a coin 2 times is not enough tries to get the chance of it landing on heads because both times it may land on heads or both times it may land on tails leading you to believe that the chance of that happening is either 100% or 0% which is not the case. If you flip the coin enough times it will land on heads 50% of the time. It will work the same with harvesting the crops every time you harvest you have a x% chance of getting an extra box and if you do the math it may not be exactly x% each time but if you keep track of it it will be close to that and will average out to be x% over time. Also the more fields you harvest the more you will see that the extra crops you will get will be close to the x% you should get for that belt. The developers have not set this up to where you will never get an extra box if you are an unlucky person. I think the confusion is in their choice of the word chance from what I have seen with my own harvest you are not really chancing anything you are getting the x% it says you will get. This comes from a person that couldn't win a raffle if there was 100 tickets in the pot and 99 of them had my name on them I wouldn't win.

Sorry, my bad, I had the other ticket

[Conjody]

When I click on the bonuses, I can't see that I'm getting anything at all. I checked both gifts and storage. For instance, I clicked on a friends brown belt for apples. I do not have any apple trees on my farm so it would have been easy to see if I'd gotten the bonus. The message came up saying that they'd received theirs and I had gotten mine. But the products never showed up anywhere. Any ideas?

[Original Tee]

when the posts pop up for a bonus if you choose not to post it it still counts as one of your 5 for 12 hours. if i get a pop up for the brown belt and this is my 5th for 12 hours, but i know i'm going to get the black belt, too, i'd rather post the black belt. i don't have the chance to post the black belt, though, because if i skip posting the brown belt it still counts.

[JAS0643]

Originally Posted by Original Tee

when the posts pop up for a bonus if you choose not to post it it still counts as one of your 5 for 12 hours. if i get a pop up for the brown belt and this is my 5th for 12 hours, but i know i'm going to get the black belt, too, i'd rather post the black belt. i don't have the chance to post the black belt, though, because if i skip posting the brown belt it still counts.

If you click on the x instead of the check mark you can keep clicking till you get to the belt you want to post.

[Original Tee]

Originally Posted by JAS0643

If you click on the x instead of the check mark you can keep clicking till you get to the belt you want to post.

no you cannot - if you x out of the posting it counts as one of your 5 for the 12 hours.

[tarawa]

Originally Posted by Original Tee

no you cannot - if you x out of the posting it counts as one of your 5 for the 12 hours.

No..I went through all 4 useable 4 day crops,and hit x except for the 5th degree dan on each.I believe that is 32 post I simply x'd out and posted the final 4.